Unhedged feels only a little reassurance. We thought inflation was all but beaten four months ago, and were wrong; once burnt, and all that. Despite this good report, however you look at it, core inflation is closer to 3 per cent than 2 per cent, and the trend is sideways, not down.
Reports of the demise of US inflation have been greatly exaggerated. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter discuss the continuing high numbers and what the Fed might do about it this year. Also they go long Ohio State and short New Year’s resolutions.
And almost as expensive due to years of cash flowing in to escape the inflation in neighbouring countries such as Argentina. What’s nicer than an ocean-view apartment to preserve your wealth in real terms?
Yields down, stocks up. After government bonds sold off sharply the week before, buyers were back after favourable inflation prints calmed investors’ nerves in the US and UK in the past week. As far as returning to normal it might be as close as we are going to get for some time.
Economists polled by Reuters expect Wednesday’s US consumer price index to show inflation of 2.8 per cent in December, up from 2.7 per cent a month earlier. They anticipate that core inflation, which strips out volatile components such as food and energy prices,
The battle of expectations continues. Republicans believe inflation will fall to 0.1%, while Democrats foresee 4%.
Let’s face it, while they are intellectually fascinating, there are no good news stories about bond markets. It’s always “someone’s defaulted”, “someone’s crashing the economy”, or some other such awfulness.
The governing council reiterated in December that the disinflation process is on track and that it expects to achieve its 2 per cent target in the medium term. Updated forecasts from then expect lower headline inflation rates of 2.1 per cent for 2025 and 1.9 per cent for 2026.
This article delves into the factors driving debt review applications in South Africa, highlighting expert opinions on consumer financial health and the implications of rising costs. Picture: Simphiwe Mbokazi,
The IMF has warned that Trump's plans to impose higher blanket tariffs by up to 20%, lower taxes, and restrict immigration could lead to higher inflation and prevent Fed interest rate cuts. The fund substantially raised its forecast for U.
The International Monetary Fund expects the world economy to grow a little faster and inflation to keep falling this year.
The U.S. Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady on Jan. 29 and resume cutting in March, according to a slim majority of economists polled by Reuters, as policymakers digest an expected barrage of new economic policies from Washington.