Implied Probability Is the Only Forecast You Can Audit

Markets are full of predictions that cannot be checked until after the fact. Implied probability is different. It is already ...
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The probability that humans can identify `` sentences written by AI '' is about 50%, which is only the same level as coin toss

GPT-4 and Google's PaLM that can generate sentences with human-level accuracy have appeared, and it is difficult to distinguish between AI-generated sentences and human-generated sentences. It is A ...